Who estimated the probability of a second wave of coronavirus

Who estimated the probability of a second wave of coronavirus

The second wave of coronavirus can be avoided, and currently doctors have all the necessary tools for this. This assessment was given by the assistant head of the world health organization (who) for strategic initiatives Ranieri Guerra in an interview with the newspaper Corriere della Sera.

According to him, at the moment there is an increase in the number of infected people in Italy, but this is due to the improvement and expansion of diagnostics. At the same time, the number of seriously ill patients can be controlled. “We learned to do this, unfortunately, after a painful experience,” he explained.

Guerra added that with the start of the school year, the number of new infections will inevitably increase, because physical contact between students will be impossible to prevent. The who representative noted that the issue of infectivity of children with coronavirus has not yet been fully studied. For example, there is a theory that children under 10-11 years of age are less likely to infect others. After 12 years, the ability to transmit infection in a teenager increases.

Earlier, the who called the minimum age for wearing a mask-12 years. Children from 6 to 11 years old are recommended to use a mask, depending on the circumstances. A child under five years old does not need a mask.

Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Director Of the center for immunology and molecular Biomedicine of the Lomonosov Moscow state University, Professor Mikhail Finger predicted three waves of COVID-19. He pointed out that any viral pandemic proceeds in three stages, for example, this was the case with the Spanish woman at the beginning of the XX century. The second wave is usually stronger than the first, and the third is weaker due to the formed collective immunity.